JobBreak

Construction and Extraction · United States (national)

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

How exposed this work is to automation, shown as ranges with the reasoning and sources.

The short version: this role is moderately exposed to automation, and a near-term shift looks unlikely. It is a sourced range, not a verdict, and the detail is below.

Built on O*NET tasks, BLS pay and projections, and peer-reviewed AI-exposure research. Sources shown. Data snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. How it works
0.0 of 100
AI / softwarerange 0.0 to 12.0
64.4 of 100
Physical / roboticsrange 52.4 to 76.4

When the change is likely

unlikely soon 0y 5y 10y 15y 20+y

Largely unaffected local demand growing

What to do about it

Use AI to outpace AI.

Strategies to protect your livelihood, most important first.

1
Stay sharp; urgency is low
This role looks durable. Keep your skills current and watch for shifts in your field.
2
Move up from the task to the system
Robotics targets the physical work. Shift toward supervising, maintaining, or programming the automation instead of competing with it.
3
Pivot toward Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators
It is skill-adjacent and less exposed (59.2 vs 64). A lateral move now beats a forced one later.
4
Build a financial buffer
Keep 6 to 12 months of expenses and diversify your income, so a disruption is a setback rather than a catastrophe.
5
Add a recognised credential
A certification or license raises the bar against automation and signals value in a tightening market.

Which of my tasks are exposed

Unscrew or tighten pipes, casing, tubing, and pump rods, using hand and power wrenches and tongs.
64.4
Dismantle and repair oil field machinery, boilers, and steam engine parts, using hand tools and power tools.
64.4
Guide cranes to move loads about decks.
64.4
Walk flow lines to locate leaks, using electronic detectors and by making visual inspections, and repair the leaks.
64.4
Lay gas and oil pipelines.
64.4
Bolt together pump and engine parts.
64.4
Move pipes to and from trucks, using truck winches and motorized lifts, or by hand.
64.4
Clean trucks used in the fields.
64.4

Longer, orange bars are more automatable; short green bars are resistant.

What is driving my result

lowers risk
raises risk
Task: Unscrew or tighten pipes, casing, tubing, and pump rods, using hand and power wrenches and tongs.
Task: Dismantle and repair oil field machinery, boilers, and steam engine parts, using hand tools and power tools.
Local demand is growing

Lower-risk adjacent roles

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators
59.2

A full, ranked mitigation plan is part of the paid tiers.

How this score is calculated

  1. Map Roustabouts, Oil and Gas to its standard O*NET task list (8 core tasks).
  2. Score each task for AI/software exposure (Eloundou et al. 2023) and physical/robotics exposure (an O*NET work-context proxy), each 0 to 100.
  3. The two axis scores are the task averages: AI 0.0, robotics 64.4.
  4. The timeline comes from the higher axis (64.4), shifted for local demand (growing), and seniority. It is read against your remaining working years.
  5. Ranges are about ±12 points. A backtest against real BLS employment change shows the risk ranking holds in aggregate, but individual outcomes are predicted weakly, so results are ranges, never a flat verdict.

Sources: O*NET, Eloundou et al. (2023), GPTs are GPTs, O*NET Work Context, BLS CPI-U, BLS OEWS. Snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. Full method and backtest on How it works.

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