Construction and Extraction · United States (national)
Electricians
How exposed this work is to automation, shown as ranges with the reasoning and sources.
The short version: this role is highly exposed to automation, and the bigger shift looks near-term.
It is a sourced range, not a verdict, and the detail is below.
Built on O*NET tasks, BLS pay and projections, and peer-reviewed AI-exposure research. Sources shown.
Data snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. How it works
AI / softwarerange 2.6 to 26.6
Physical / roboticsrange 67.8 to 91.8
When the change is likely
Near-term, highlocal demand stable
What to do about it
Use AI to outpace AI.
Strategies to protect your livelihood, most important first.
1
Act within the next 1 to 2 years
Displacement for this role is near-term. Start a concrete reskilling plan now, while you still have income and leverage.
2
Move up from the task to the system
Robotics targets the physical work. Shift toward supervising, maintaining, or programming the automation instead of competing with it.
3
Pivot toward Lighting Technicians
It is skill-adjacent and less exposed (9.4 vs 80). A lateral move now beats a forced one later.
4
Build a financial buffer
Keep 6 to 12 months of expenses and diversify your income, so a disruption is a setback rather than a catastrophe.
5
Add a recognised credential
A certification or license raises the bar against automation and signals value in a tightening market.
Keep the monitor on
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Which of my tasks are exposed
Prepare sketches or follow blueprints to determine the location of wiring or equipment and to ensure conformance to building and safety codes.
100.0
Place conduit, pipes, or tubing, inside designated partitions, walls, or other concealed areas, and pull insulated wires or cables through the conduit to complete circuits between boxes.
79.8
Work from ladders, scaffolds, or roofs to install, maintain, or repair electrical wiring, equipment, or fixtures.
79.8
Use a variety of tools or equipment, such as power construction equipment, measuring devices, power tools, and testing equipment, such as oscilloscopes, ammeters, or test lamps.
79.8
Assemble, install, test, or maintain electrical or electronic wiring, equipment, appliances, apparatus, or fixtures, using hand tools or power tools.
79.8
Connect wires to circuit breakers, transformers, or other components.
79.8
Maintain current electrician's license or identification card to meet governmental regulations.
79.8
Plan layout and installation of electrical wiring, equipment, or fixtures, based on job specifications and local codes.
79.8
Longer, orange bars are more automatable; short green bars are resistant.
What is driving my result
lowers risk
raises risk
Task: Prepare sketches or follow blueprints to determine the location of wiring or equipment and to ensure conformance to building and safety codes.
Task: Place conduit, pipes, or tubing, inside designated partitions, walls, or other concealed areas, and pull insulated wires or cables through the conduit to complete circuits between boxes.
Lower-risk adjacent roles
Lighting Technicians
9.4
Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers
50.1
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers
64.0
Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment
66.6
Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
71.4
Helpers--Electricians
72.3
A full, ranked mitigation plan is part of the paid tiers.
How this score is calculated
Map Electricians to its standard O*NET task list (8 core tasks).
Score each task for AI/software exposure (Eloundou et al. 2023) and physical/robotics exposure (an O*NET work-context proxy), each 0 to 100.
The two axis scores are the task averages: AI 14.6, robotics 79.8.
The timeline comes from the higher axis (79.8), shifted for local demand (stable), and seniority. It is read against your remaining working years.
Ranges are about ±12 points. A backtest against real BLS employment change shows the risk ranking holds in aggregate, but individual outcomes are predicted weakly, so results are ranges, never a flat verdict.
Sources: O*NET, Eloundou et al. (2023), GPTs are GPTs, O*NET Work Context, BLS CPI-U, BLS OEWS.
Snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. Full method and backtest on How it works.