Personal Care and Service · United States (national)
Recreation Workers
How exposed this work is to automation, shown as ranges with the reasoning and sources.
The short version: this role is less exposed to automation, and a near-term shift looks unlikely.
It is a sourced range, not a verdict, and the detail is below.
Built on O*NET tasks, BLS pay and projections, and peer-reviewed AI-exposure research. Sources shown.
Data snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. How it works
AI / softwarerange 13.0 to 37.0
Physical / roboticsrange 11.8 to 35.8
When the change is likely
Largely unaffectedlocal demand growing
What to do about it
Use AI to outpace AI.
Strategies to protect your livelihood, most important first.
1
Stay sharp; urgency is low
This role looks durable. Keep your skills current and watch for shifts in your field.
2
Build a financial buffer
Keep 6 to 12 months of expenses and diversify your income, so a disruption is a setback rather than a catastrophe.
3
Add a recognised credential
A certification or license raises the bar against automation and signals value in a tightening market.
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Which of my tasks are exposed
Enforce rules and regulations of recreational facilities to maintain discipline and ensure safety.
100.0
Organize, lead, and promote interest in recreational activities, such as arts, crafts, sports, games, camping, and hobbies.
100.0
Assess the needs and interests of individuals and groups and plan activities accordingly, given the available equipment or facilities.
50.0
Manage the daily operations of recreational facilities.
100.0
Administer first aid according to prescribed procedures and notify emergency medical personnel when necessary.
23.8
Complete and maintain time and attendance forms and inventory lists.
25.0
Explain principles, techniques, and safety procedures to participants in recreational activities and demonstrate use of materials and equipment.
100.0
Direct special activities or events, such as aquatics, gymnastics, or performing arts.
23.8
Longer, orange bars are more automatable; short green bars are resistant.
What is driving my result
lowers risk
raises risk
Task: Enforce rules and regulations of recreational facilities to maintain discipline and ensure safety.
Task: Organize, lead, and promote interest in recreational activities, such as arts, crafts, sports, games, camping, and hobbies.
Local demand is growing
How this score is calculated
Map Recreation Workers to its standard O*NET task list (8 core tasks).
Score each task for AI/software exposure (Eloundou et al. 2023) and physical/robotics exposure (an O*NET work-context proxy), each 0 to 100.
The two axis scores are the task averages: AI 25.0, robotics 23.8.
The timeline comes from the higher axis (25.0), shifted for local demand (growing), and seniority. It is read against your remaining working years.
Ranges are about ±12 points. A backtest against real BLS employment change shows the risk ranking holds in aggregate, but individual outcomes are predicted weakly, so results are ranges, never a flat verdict.
Sources: O*NET, Eloundou et al. (2023), GPTs are GPTs, O*NET Work Context, BLS CPI-U, BLS OEWS.
Snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. Full method and backtest on How it works.