JobBreak

Food Preparation and Serving Related · United States (national)

Cooks, Private Household

How exposed this work is to automation, shown as ranges with the reasoning and sources.

The short version: this role is moderately exposed to automation, and meaningful change looks likely over the next 5 to 10 years. It is a sourced range, not a verdict, and the detail is below.

Built on O*NET tasks, BLS pay and projections, and peer-reviewed AI-exposure research. Sources shown. Data snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. How it works
28.0 of 100
AI / softwarerange 16.0 to 40.0
43.1 of 100
Physical / roboticsrange 31.1 to 55.1

When the change is likely

partial change 0y 5y 10y 15y 20+y

Partial, 5 to 10 years local demand stable

What to do about it

Use AI to outpace AI.

Strategies to protect your livelihood, most important first.

1
Use your 5 to 10 year runway
Change here is gradual. Build resilient skills steadily and watch the signals rather than waiting for a shock.
2
Pivot toward Cooks, Fast Food
It is skill-adjacent and less exposed (29.5 vs 43). A lateral move now beats a forced one later.
3
Build a financial buffer
Keep 6 to 12 months of expenses and diversify your income, so a disruption is a setback rather than a catastrophe.
4
Add a recognised credential
A certification or license raises the bar against automation and signals value in a tightening market.

Which of my tasks are exposed

Peel, wash, trim, and cook vegetables and meats, and bake breads and pastries.
43.1
Cool, package, label, and freeze foods for later consumption and provide instructions for reheating.
43.1
Plan menus according to employers' needs and diet restrictions.
50.0
Shop for or order food and kitchen supplies and equipment.
50.0
Prepare meals in private homes according to employers' recipes or tastes, handling all meals for the family and possibly for other household staff.
43.1
Keep records pertaining to menus, finances, and other business-related issues.
50.0
Stock, organize, and clean kitchens and cooking utensils.
43.1
Direct the operation and organization of kitchens and all food-related activities, including the presentation and serving of food.
43.1

Longer, orange bars are more automatable; short green bars are resistant.

What is driving my result

lowers risk
raises risk
Task: Plan menus according to employers' needs and diet restrictions.
Task: Shop for or order food and kitchen supplies and equipment.

Lower-risk adjacent roles

Cooks, Fast Food
29.5

A full, ranked mitigation plan is part of the paid tiers.

How this score is calculated

  1. Map Cooks, Private Household to its standard O*NET task list (8 core tasks).
  2. Score each task for AI/software exposure (Eloundou et al. 2023) and physical/robotics exposure (an O*NET work-context proxy), each 0 to 100.
  3. The two axis scores are the task averages: AI 28.0, robotics 43.1.
  4. The timeline comes from the higher axis (43.1), shifted for local demand (stable), and seniority. It is read against your remaining working years.
  5. Ranges are about ±12 points. A backtest against real BLS employment change shows the risk ranking holds in aggregate, but individual outcomes are predicted weakly, so results are ranges, never a flat verdict.

Sources: O*NET, Eloundou et al. (2023), GPTs are GPTs, O*NET Work Context, BLS CPI-U, BLS OEWS. Snapshot SNAPSHOT-2026-11-06. Full method and backtest on How it works.

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